Thursday, 23 September 2010

Soybean Bulls Break From 2010 Range

The Commodity Specialist view - After early 2010 weakness the price of Soybeans (CBOT) has, with some interruption, been moving from the bottom to top of its range for the year. Latest strength has seen a bullish break through the top of this now, so we can start looking at high targets/resistances.
  • WEEKLY CONTINUATION CHART: Note the 76.4% retracement level here, which provided effective support. In fact the late 2008 low was also at a long term 76.4% support (not shown). The top of the recent range, the 1078.50 Dec-09 high (slightly lower on the front month chart), has now been exceeded. Focus next turns to the 1134 61.8% recovery level.
  • DAILY CHART NOV-10: After the Aug pullback held above first support around the 987.00 21-Apr high the 1060.25 Dec-09 high has now been breached. With bulls remaining in control we note two overhead projections now, the 2.618 swing off prior Apr/Jun downleg, at 1150, and a slightly higher projection around 1166. First support now comes from the 1060 area.

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